Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dickinson wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.1% vs Stastny 54.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 61.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 79.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 72.4%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Dickinson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dickinson
Stastny
Last 5: Dickinson 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Dickinson
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (398)
52.8% (657)
-8.3%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
61.0% (118)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (62)
61.1% (72)
-25.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dickinson is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Dickinson shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Stastny
Home
45.2% (221)
53.0% (464)
Away
40.7% (248)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Dickinson
Stastny
P1
45.1%
47.9%
P2
40.0%
59.6%
P3
44.7%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |