Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 56.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dickinson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dickinson
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Dickinson
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
57.5% (412)
-8.9%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
60.0% (65)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
44.4% (9)
-0.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Stastny
Home
45.4% (368)
58.3% (276)
Away
49.9% (403)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Dickinson
Stastny
P1
49.2%
63.7%
P2
46.3%
57.3%
P3
48.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |