Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.8%). Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs McLeod 50.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 71.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 71.8%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Dickinson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dickinson
McLeod
Last 9: Dickinson 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dickinson
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Dickinson
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
51.3% (628)
-0.1%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
68.3% (41)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
30.6% (49)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Dickinson
McLeod
Home
52.9% (664)
51.5% (394)
Away
46.7% (572)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Dickinson
McLeod
P1
49.0%
51.5%
P2
48.3%
47.0%
P3
52.5%
54.3%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |