Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Wright 45.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 53.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 89.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 78.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Dickinson
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dickinson
Wright
Last 7: Dickinson 5-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
43.9% (758)
+7.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
50.7% (67)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
40.0% (5)
+2.4%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Wright
Home
53.6% (489)
46.3% (406)
Away
44.7% (427)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Dickinson
Wright
P1
47.7%
46.8%
P2
52.1%
42.6%
P3
47.8%
44.4%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Shane Wright |