Jason Dickinson vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Stamkos 54.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 91.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 69.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 73.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Dickinson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dickinson
Stamkos
Last 7: Dickinson 5-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Dickinson
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
55.8% (339)
-4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
53.3% (90)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
62.5% (8)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Dickinson shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Stamkos
Home
48.7% (419)
53.4% (208)
Away
50.4% (383)
57.2% (229)
By Period
Dickinson
Stamkos
P1
42.6%
55.3%
P2
55.0%
52.5%
P3
50.0%
58.9%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Stamkos
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |