Jason Dickinson vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 78.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 86.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 57.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Dickinson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dickinson
Stamkos
Last 7: Dickinson 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Dickinson
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Dickinson
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
49.3% (670)
+2.2%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
53.7% (121)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
33.3% (3)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Stamkos
Home
53.6% (489)
54.0% (400)
Away
44.7% (427)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Dickinson
Stamkos
P1
47.7%
48.6%
P2
52.1%
54.5%
P3
47.8%
45.4%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |