Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Thompson 43.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 87.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 63.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 63.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Dickinson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Dickinson
Thompson
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Dickinson
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
10
Dickinson
Thompson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
41.9% (597)
+9.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
50.5% (95)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
25.0% (12)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Thompson
Home
53.6% (489)
47.1% (367)
Away
44.7% (427)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Dickinson
Thompson
P1
47.7%
44.2%
P2
52.1%
41.6%
P3
47.8%
42.9%
OT
83.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |