Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 59.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 52.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 60.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Dickinson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dickinson
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dickinson
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dickinson
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
47.2% (654)
+4.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
45.0% (20)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
32.2% (87)
+6.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Gourde
Home
48.7% (419)
44.1% (322)
Away
50.4% (383)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Dickinson
Gourde
P1
42.6%
42.4%
P2
55.0%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
44.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |