Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 69.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 57.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Dickinson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Dickinson
Gourde
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Dickinson
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
2
Dickinson
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
48.0% (914)
+3.2%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
54.2% (48)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
43.9% (123)
-1.0%
On power play, Dickinson has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Gourde
Home
52.9% (664)
50.2% (512)
Away
46.7% (572)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Dickinson
Gourde
P1
49.0%
50.0%
P2
48.3%
45.3%
P3
52.5%
48.6%
OT
61.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |