Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dickinson wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.2% vs Gourde 48.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 55.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 79.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 62.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Dickinson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Dickinson
Gourde
Last 8: Dickinson 6-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dickinson
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
1
Dickinson
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (272)
49.0% (557)
-1.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
65.9% (44)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
29.2% (48)
+0.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dickinson is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Dickinson shoots left. Gourde is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Gourde
Home
47.4% (175)
49.0% (314)
Away
44.6% (121)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Dickinson
Gourde
P1
38.8%
54.0%
P2
50.5%
44.6%
P3
48.5%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
46.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |