Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pominville wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pominville 48.2% vs Connolly 48.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pominville 74.1%
Defensive zone
Connolly 70.6%
Neutral zone
Pominville 69.6%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Pominville
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pominville
Connolly
Last 6: Pominville 1-5 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
5
Pominville
Connolly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pominville
1
0
Pominville
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pominville
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (192)
47.8% (605)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.6% (154)
51.2% (86)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
55.1% (89)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Pominville is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Pominville shoots right. Connolly is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Pominville
Connolly
Home
54.5% (213)
51.1% (358)
Away
38.9% (162)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Pominville
Connolly
P1
41.0%
48.7%
P2
53.5%
48.1%
P3
46.4%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pominville
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.7%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Jason Pominville |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |