Jason Pominville vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Pominville holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pominville wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pominville 48.7% vs Connolly 47.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pominville 66.1%
Defensive zone
Connolly 92.2%
Neutral zone
Connolly 58.7%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 86.6%
13.4%
86.6%
Pominville
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pominville
Connolly
Last 6: Pominville 1-5 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
5
Pominville
Connolly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pominville
1
0
Pominville
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pominville
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (716)
47.4% (1,307)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.0% (349)
50.2% (251)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
41.9% (186)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Pominville is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Pominville shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Pominville
Connolly
Home
52.3% (606)
48.5% (870)
Away
44.2% (527)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Pominville
Connolly
P1
48.4%
47.4%
P2
50.1%
47.7%
P3
47.1%
47.0%
OT
46.7%
37.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pominville
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Jason Pominville |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |