Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Killorn wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 45.6% vs Spezza 53.7% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Killorn 85.5%
Defensive zone
Killorn 76.2%
Neutral zone
Killorn 78.5%
Result
Alex Killorn favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Killorn
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Killorn
Spezza
Last 7: Killorn 0-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Killorn
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Killorn
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Killorn
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (137)
53.9% (1,097)
-12.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
54.8% (250)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
52.8% (89)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Killorn is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Killorn shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Home / Away
Killorn
Spezza
Home
44.0% (75)
55.8% (695)
Away
42.3% (97)
52.2% (741)
By Period
Killorn
Spezza
P1
47.8%
50.3%
P2
46.3%
54.7%
P3
35.7%
56.0%
OT
33.3%
73.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
43.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |