Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.6% vs Spezza 55.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 90.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 70.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Copp
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Copp
Spezza
Last 7: Copp 6-1 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (461)
56.4% (654)
-5.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
51.7% (87)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (107)
50.0% (6)
+5.1%
On power play, Copp has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Copp shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Copp
Spezza
Home
53.5% (318)
61.4% (352)
Away
49.8% (253)
50.9% (395)
By Period
Copp
Spezza
P1
50.0%
60.6%
P2
51.2%
54.8%
P3
53.3%
52.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |