Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Spezza 55.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 52.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Horvat
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
18
(35 meetings)
17
18
Horvat
Spezza
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
14
9
Horvat
Spezza
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
8
Horvat
Spezza
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Horvat
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
57.9% (292)
-7.2%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
62.3% (53)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
52.9% (138)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Horvat is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Horvat shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Horvat
Spezza
Home
54.1% (599)
58.4% (238)
Away
51.8% (626)
55.5% (245)
By Period
Horvat
Spezza
P1
50.8%
59.2%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
57.7%
57.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |