Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.8% vs Spezza 57.3% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 65.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 65.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 64.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Schenn
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Schenn
Spezza
Last 9: Schenn 3-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Schenn
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
3
Schenn
Spezza
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Schenn
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (609)
58.0% (697)
-11.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
60.0% (105)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
60.0% (5)
-8.4%
On even strength, Spezza has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Schenn is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Schenn shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Schenn
Spezza
Home
45.7% (361)
58.2% (376)
Away
49.5% (319)
58.2% (431)
By Period
Schenn
Spezza
P1
54.6%
63.3%
P2
41.0%
54.9%
P3
46.8%
57.4%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |