Casey Mittelstadt vs Jason Spezza
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Spezza 52.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 74.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Mittelstadt
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Mittelstadt
Spezza
Last 7: Mittelstadt 1-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
4
Mittelstadt
Spezza
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Mittelstadt
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Mittelstadt
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
53.7% (451)
-7.8%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
54.3% (92)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
38.2% (34)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Spezza
Home
47.2% (193)
55.0% (282)
Away
42.9% (259)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Spezza
P1
49.0%
53.1%
P2
45.7%
53.2%
P3
38.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |