Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.4% vs Spezza 53.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 85.0%
Defensive zone
Paquette 53.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 62.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Paquette
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paquette
Spezza
Last 5: Paquette 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Paquette
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (197)
53.0% (998)
-7.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
58.5% (248)
+41.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (36)
50.0% (16)
+8.3%
On power play, Paquette has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Paquette is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Paquette shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Paquette
Spezza
Home
51.0% (98)
56.4% (626)
Away
45.3% (137)
51.7% (636)
By Period
Paquette
Spezza
P1
44.1%
56.9%
P2
51.2%
51.9%
P3
46.8%
53.9%
Final 5 min
43.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
47.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |