Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Spezza 53.7% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 93.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 83.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 89.9%
10.1%
89.9%
Coyle
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Coyle
Spezza
Last 6: Coyle 6-0 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
53.9% (1,097)
-12.5%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
54.8% (250)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
52.8% (89)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Coyle is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Coyle shoots right. Spezza is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Coyle
Spezza
Home
46.4% (211)
55.8% (695)
Away
38.1% (247)
52.2% (741)
By Period
Coyle
Spezza
P1
46.2%
50.3%
P2
39.5%
54.7%
P3
37.0%
56.0%
OT
73.3%
73.7%
Final 5 min
38.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
41.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |