Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 21-12 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 93.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 78.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 79.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Coyle
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
12
(33 meetings)
21
12
Coyle
Spezza
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
2
Coyle
Spezza
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
3
Coyle
Spezza
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
7
Coyle
Spezza
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
54.4% (7,990)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
56.8% (1,726)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
52.7% (643)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Coyle
Spezza
Home
49.8% (4,835)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Coyle
Spezza
P1
49.4%
55.7%
P2
48.3%
54.4%
P3
48.8%
54.1%
OT
49.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |