Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Moss wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.6% vs Spezza 55.8% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 73.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 87.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 78.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Moss
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Moss
Spezza
Last 6: Moss 4-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Moss
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
4
0
Moss
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Moss
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (277)
56.1% (795)
-14.6%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
56.9% (211)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (48)
56.3% (190)
-6.3%
On even strength, Spezza has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Moss is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Moss shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Moss
Spezza
Home
45.0% (191)
56.6% (532)
Away
41.0% (173)
56.0% (678)
By Period
Moss
Spezza
P1
39.3%
58.8%
P2
45.5%
59.6%
P3
44.0%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
43.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | David Moss |