Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Spezza 53.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 53.5%
Defensive zone
Brassard 53.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Brassard
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Brassard
Spezza
Last 7: Brassard 6-1 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
52.6% (346)
+2.8%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
61.0% (41)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
72.7% (11)
+2.3%
On power play, Spezza has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Brassard is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Brassard shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Brassard
Spezza
Home
52.3% (174)
56.0% (175)
Away
57.9% (183)
52.5% (223)
By Period
Brassard
Spezza
P1
47.1%
56.8%
P2
60.6%
54.3%
P3
57.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |