Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 51.4% vs Spezza 55.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 58.2%
Defensive zone
Shore 59.8%
Neutral zone
Shore 63.8%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Shore
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shore
Spezza
Last 6: Shore 2-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Shore
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Shore
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (90)
57.9% (292)
-3.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
62.3% (53)
-62.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
52.9% (138)
-5.8%
On power play, Spezza has a +62.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Shore is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Shore shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Shore
Spezza
Home
58.6% (58)
58.4% (238)
Away
46.0% (50)
55.5% (245)
By Period
Shore
Spezza
P1
40.0%
59.2%
P2
51.4%
54.8%
P3
62.8%
57.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |