Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 52.9%). Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Spezza 52.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 58.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 63.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Haula
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
Spezza
Last 5: Haula 4-1 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Haula
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (734)
53.7% (451)
-1.0%
Power Play
71.4% (49)
54.3% (92)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
38.2% (34)
+14.0%
On power play, Haula has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Haula is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Haula shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Haula
Spezza
Home
54.0% (404)
55.0% (282)
Away
53.7% (402)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Haula
Spezza
P1
50.8%
53.1%
P2
55.0%
53.2%
P3
55.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |