Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 50.1% vs Spezza 53.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 54.3%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 79.4%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 65.2%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Sheppard
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sheppard
Spezza
Last 5: Sheppard 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Sheppard
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Sheppard
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sheppard
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (518)
53.0% (998)
-2.8%
Power Play
44.1% (34)
58.5% (248)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
50.0% (16)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Sheppard is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Sheppard shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Spezza
Home
50.3% (324)
56.4% (626)
Away
49.8% (231)
51.7% (636)
By Period
Sheppard
Spezza
P1
49.7%
56.9%
P2
46.9%
51.9%
P3
53.8%
53.9%
OT
66.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |