Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hecht shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Hecht 43.9% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Hecht leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 63.8%
Defensive zone
Hecht 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hecht 64.1%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Spezza
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Spezza
Hecht
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
3
Spezza
Hecht
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
3
Spezza
Hecht
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
41.8% (558)
+14.3%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
44.4% (72)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
47.3% (93)
+9.0%
On even strength, Spezza has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Spezza shoots right. Hecht is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hecht
Home
56.6% (532)
44.7% (356)
Away
56.0% (678)
41.6% (373)
By Period
Spezza
Hecht
P1
58.8%
41.9%
P2
59.6%
45.0%
P3
50.4%
42.0%
OT
57.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 4, 2010 | OT | 02:02 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 4, 2010 | OT | 00:14 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 4, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |