Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hecht shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Hecht 43.7% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Hecht leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 56.5%
Defensive zone
Hecht 66.4%
Neutral zone
Hecht 70.1%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Spezza
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Spezza
Hecht
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
3
Spezza
Hecht
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
2
Spezza
Hecht
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
3
5
Spezza
Hecht
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
43.2% (1,074)
+11.2%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
44.1% (93)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.0% (207)
+10.7%
On power play, Spezza has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Hecht is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hecht
Home
56.8% (5,066)
45.5% (714)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
40.7% (668)
By Period
Spezza
Hecht
P1
55.7%
41.9%
P2
54.4%
44.7%
P3
54.1%
43.1%
OT
51.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | OT | 02:07 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 4, 2010 | OT | 02:02 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 4, 2010 | OT | 00:14 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 4, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |