Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 54.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 53.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 52.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Spezza
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Spezza
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Spezza
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
52.5% (570)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
54.5% (145)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
44.4% (36)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Spezza
Pavelski
Home
55.0% (282)
55.0% (391)
Away
50.8% (295)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Spezza
Pavelski
P1
53.1%
50.8%
P2
53.2%
55.0%
P3
52.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |