Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Ek 43.9% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 52.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Spezza
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Spezza
Ek
Last 8: Spezza 4-4 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Spezza
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Ek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
43.5% (439)
+12.9%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
60.0% (5)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
25.0% (28)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Spezza shoots right. Ek is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Spezza
Ek
Home
61.4% (352)
46.5% (245)
Away
50.9% (395)
38.3% (227)
By Period
Spezza
Ek
P1
60.6%
43.3%
P2
54.8%
41.9%
P3
52.5%
42.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
35.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |