Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Ek 47.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 67.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 65.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 63.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Spezza
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Spezza
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Spezza
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Spezza
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
48.0% (920)
+5.7%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
52.0% (302)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
40.3% (243)
-2.1%
On even strength, Spezza has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Ek is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Spezza
Ek
Home
55.0% (282)
49.1% (740)
Away
50.8% (295)
46.1% (725)
By Period
Spezza
Ek
P1
53.1%
47.6%
P2
53.2%
48.9%
P3
52.3%
45.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |