Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Ek 46.4% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 63.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 50.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Spezza
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Spezza
Ek
Last 5: Spezza 2-3 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Spezza
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
2
Spezza
Ek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
47.1% (482)
+10.9%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
50.0% (14)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
29.5% (44)
+30.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Ek is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Spezza
Ek
Home
58.2% (376)
48.4% (254)
Away
58.2% (431)
43.4% (286)
By Period
Spezza
Ek
P1
63.3%
44.8%
P2
54.9%
46.9%
P3
57.4%
45.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |