Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Larsson 46.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 64.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 58.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Spezza
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Spezza
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Spezza
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
46.7% (345)
+7.0%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
61.1% (18)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
39.0% (59)
-0.8%
On even strength, Spezza has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Spezza
Larsson
Home
55.0% (282)
52.1% (167)
Away
50.8% (295)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Spezza
Larsson
P1
53.1%
50.0%
P2
53.2%
46.7%
P3
52.3%
42.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |