Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Jooris 48.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 92.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 65.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 81.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Spezza
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Spezza
Jooris
Last 7: Spezza 5-2 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Jooris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
1
Spezza
Jooris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Jooris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
48.6% (1,221)
+5.8%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
61.0% (41)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
39.4% (175)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Jooris is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Spezza
Jooris
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.0% (786)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Spezza
Jooris
P1
55.7%
47.5%
P2
54.4%
44.3%
P3
54.1%
51.3%
OT
51.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 13, 2017 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 13, 2017 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |