Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lammikko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Lammikko 50.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 65.4%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 76.5%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 57.8%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Spezza
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spezza
Lammikko
Last 5: Spezza 1-4 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Lammikko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
0
1
Spezza
Lammikko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lammikko
0
2
Spezza
Lammikko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
52.3% (616)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
56.3% (16)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
37.1% (62)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Lammikko is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Spezza
Lammikko
Home
55.0% (282)
49.2% (364)
Away
50.8% (295)
53.0% (330)
By Period
Spezza
Lammikko
P1
53.1%
51.1%
P2
53.2%
52.3%
P3
52.3%
49.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |