Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Eller 50.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 35-24 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 53.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 71.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Spezza
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
24
(59 meetings)
35
24
Spezza
Eller
Last 10: Spezza 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
17
3
Spezza
Eller
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
9
Spezza
Eller
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
10
12
Spezza
Eller
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
51.1% (10,296)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
52.8% (621)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
46.7% (1,751)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Spezza
Eller
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Spezza
Eller
P1
55.7%
51.2%
P2
54.4%
50.1%
P3
54.1%
50.2%
OT
51.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2017 | OT | 01:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |