Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Eller 49.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 61.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Spezza
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Spezza
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Spezza
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
51.1% (786)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
45.0% (80)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
43.6% (165)
-5.4%
On power play, Spezza has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Spezza
Eller
Home
55.0% (282)
51.2% (510)
Away
50.8% (295)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Spezza
Eller
P1
53.1%
50.7%
P2
53.2%
49.0%
P3
52.3%
48.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |