Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 32-20 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 51.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 56.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Spezza
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
20
(52 meetings)
32
20
Spezza
Draisaitl
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
12
9
Spezza
Draisaitl
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
15
10
Spezza
Draisaitl
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
1
Spezza
Draisaitl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
52.9% (10,240)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
55.7% (2,827)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
51.2% (977)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Spezza
Draisaitl
Home
56.8% (5,066)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Spezza
Draisaitl
P1
55.7%
52.7%
P2
54.4%
53.6%
P3
54.1%
53.4%
OT
51.5%
57.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |