Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.4%). Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 56.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Spezza
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Spezza
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Spezza
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
52.6% (1,124)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
58.4% (344)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
49.2% (193)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Spezza
Draisaitl
Home
55.0% (282)
55.5% (816)
Away
50.8% (295)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Spezza
Draisaitl
P1
53.1%
51.1%
P2
53.2%
51.6%
P3
52.3%
56.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |