Scouting Report
Marcus Foligno holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Foligno 51.7% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 62.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 60.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Spezza
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
53.8% (13)
-0.1%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
0.0% (1)
+54.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
83.3% (6)
-45.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Foligno is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Spezza
Foligno
Home
55.0% (282)
70.0% (10)
Away
50.8% (295)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Spezza
Foligno
P1
53.1%
50.0%
P2
53.2%
60.0%
P3
52.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
60.0%