Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 73.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 50.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Spezza
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
51.6% (126)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
50.0% (2)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
39.2% (51)
-1.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Spezza
Jankowski
Home
55.0% (282)
45.3% (64)
Away
50.8% (295)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Spezza
Jankowski
P1
53.1%
53.7%
P2
53.2%
45.8%
P3
52.3%
43.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%