Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 55.4%). Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Letestu 54.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 60.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 63.8%
Neutral zone
Letestu 54.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Spezza
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Spezza
Letestu
Last 6: Spezza 4-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Spezza
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Letestu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
55.6% (613)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
53.4% (103)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
60.0% (10)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Spezza shoots right. Letestu is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Spezza
Letestu
Home
56.6% (532)
57.5% (393)
Away
56.0% (678)
53.1% (341)
By Period
Spezza
Letestu
P1
58.8%
53.3%
P2
59.6%
59.8%
P3
50.4%
53.0%
OT
57.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |