Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Letestu 52.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 22-9 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 85.2%
Defensive zone
Letestu 58.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Spezza
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
9
(31 meetings)
22
9
Spezza
Letestu
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
1
Spezza
Letestu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
9
5
Spezza
Letestu
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
3
Spezza
Letestu
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
53.3% (4,565)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
56.0% (687)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
44.2% (1,005)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Spezza
Letestu
Home
56.8% (5,066)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Spezza
Letestu
P1
55.7%
51.5%
P2
54.4%
55.0%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
51.5%
51.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |