Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Letestu 53.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 77.3%
Defensive zone
Letestu 71.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Spezza
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spezza
Letestu
Last 5: Spezza 4-1 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Spezza
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
53.3% (625)
+3.1%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
59.6% (89)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.3% (173)
-0.3%
On power play, Letestu has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Spezza is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Spezza shoots right. Letestu is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Spezza
Letestu
Home
61.4% (352)
55.8% (421)
Away
50.9% (395)
51.1% (466)
By Period
Spezza
Letestu
P1
60.6%
52.0%
P2
54.8%
55.2%
P3
52.5%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |