Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 54.0%). Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Cullen 53.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 59.0%
Defensive zone
Cullen 72.2%
Neutral zone
Cullen 54.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Spezza
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Spezza
Cullen
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
2
Spezza
Cullen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
54.2% (251)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
41.7% (12)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
58.3% (24)
-8.3%
On power play, Spezza has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Cullen is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Spezza
Cullen
Home
56.4% (626)
65.9% (126)
Away
51.7% (636)
44.7% (161)
By Period
Spezza
Cullen
P1
56.9%
52.7%
P2
51.9%
55.9%
P3
53.9%
51.6%
OT
46.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 17:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |