Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 26 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Cullen 53.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.9%
Defensive zone
Cullen 68.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.0%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Spezza
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
23
(49 meetings)
26
23
Spezza
Cullen
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
1
Spezza
Cullen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
9
17
Spezza
Cullen
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
9
5
Spezza
Cullen
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
54.8% (5,371)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
52.3% (421)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.0% (953)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Spezza
Cullen
Home
56.8% (5,066)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Spezza
Cullen
P1
55.7%
54.7%
P2
54.4%
52.8%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
51.5%
62.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |