Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Cullen 51.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 80.5%
Defensive zone
Cullen 78.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 52.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Spezza
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Spezza
Cullen
Last 10: Spezza 2-8 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
6
Spezza
Cullen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
54.0% (648)
-2.7%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
58.3% (24)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
40.6% (187)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Spezza shoots right. Cullen is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Spezza
Cullen
Home
53.7% (374)
52.9% (416)
Away
50.3% (304)
49.7% (443)
By Period
Spezza
Cullen
P1
50.2%
53.5%
P2
50.2%
51.3%
P3
56.2%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |