Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Cullen 50.3% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.8%
Defensive zone
Cullen 51.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 64.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Spezza
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Spezza
Cullen
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
2
Spezza
Cullen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
50.1% (637)
+6.3%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
50.0% (8)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
53.3% (60)
-3.3%
On even strength, Spezza has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Spezza shoots right. Cullen is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Spezza
Cullen
Home
61.4% (352)
50.5% (400)
Away
50.9% (395)
50.2% (305)
By Period
Spezza
Cullen
P1
60.6%
49.8%
P2
54.8%
48.8%
P3
52.5%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |