Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Read shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Read 42.2% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 85.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 87.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Spezza
Read
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Spezza
Read
Last 7: Spezza 5-2 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Read
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Read
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Read
0
2
Spezza
Read
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Read
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
42.0% (395)
+12.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
41.5% (41)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
33.3% (87)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Read is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Spezza
Read
Home
56.8% (5,066)
42.8% (250)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
38.8% (276)
By Period
Spezza
Read
P1
55.7%
42.5%
P2
54.4%
41.5%
P3
54.1%
38.1%
OT
51.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |