Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Stajan 48.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 87.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 63.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 72.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Spezza
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Spezza
Stajan
Last 6: Spezza 4-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
49.2% (886)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
37.1% (35)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
44.6% (175)
+8.2%
On power play, Spezza has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Spezza shoots right. Stajan is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Spezza
Stajan
Home
55.8% (695)
51.2% (572)
Away
52.2% (741)
44.7% (524)
By Period
Spezza
Stajan
P1
50.3%
48.4%
P2
54.7%
45.2%
P3
56.0%
50.8%
OT
73.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |