Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Stajan 49.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 92.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 56.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 78.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Spezza
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Spezza
Stajan
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
3
Spezza
Stajan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
8
Spezza
Stajan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
0
Spezza
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
50.2% (4,944)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
43.2% (176)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
46.1% (864)
+6.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Spezza
Stajan
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Spezza
Stajan
P1
55.7%
50.3%
P2
54.4%
48.5%
P3
54.1%
49.4%
OT
51.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |